Investigative | Geopolitics | Conflict Escalation | Strategic Risk

Israel Versus the Rest of the World

By Robert Chyliński

Executive Snapshot

This article presents the author’s interpretation of the current regional escalation involving Israel, Iran and the United States, framed through the lenses of military doctrine, strategic deterrence, regional destabilisation and systemic financial pressure.

Institutional Focus

Escalation dynamics in the Middle East, U.S.–Israel strategic alignment, regional spillover risk, maritime chokepoints, deterrence doctrine, and wider geopolitical implications for BRICS and the global financial system.

Editorial Context

The publication is presented as an investigative-opinion analysis reflecting the author’s perspective and analytical conclusions.

Opening Thesis

The last week has brought an outpouring of events and information of the highest calibre.

“Is the U.S. and Israeli attack on Iran the beginning of World War III?”

This attack was not a surprise for people who are oriented in the international situation. In reality, it is Israel’s war with the Arab world carried out by the hands of the United States, and it should be emphasised here that it is not in the interest of the USA; quite the opposite, they will bear very serious consequences of this attack. Perhaps at this moment no one sees it yet.

Hormuz and Energy Risk

The first effect is the blocking of the Strait of Hormuz. Even if Iran is not able to impose a complete blockade, all traffic will be halted anyway for a simple reason: ship insurers will not agree to the risk that accompanies military operations. The price of oil and gas will rise sharply.

“Why then is America carrying out Israel’s plans?”

Why Washington Follows Israel

Of course, we have here long-established Semitic influence on the USA, but in the background the echoes of the so-called “Epstein affair” still have not fallen silent. It is already known that Epstein’s wife is a Mossad agent and that all the activities carried out on their farm were intended to create compromising materials on the ruling elites of the world. In this situation, it is difficult to believe that this matter does not concern Trump. Rather, one may ask how deeply he is involved in it.

At this moment it looks as if the Americans were deceived by their ally. Probably it was supposed to be an air-force action lasting a few hours, whose main target was the leadership of Iran. Surgical strikes by aircraft and missiles on selected targets. The situation, however, got out of U.S. control.

Escalation and Loss of Control

The armed forces of Israel “in passing” attacked neighbouring states and in addition are conducting operations to this day. The American army is not prepared to conduct prolonged operations, but it also cannot withdraw from them. A sudden announcement of ending operations will be received as a defeat of the USA.

The daily change of tactics of the American army testifies to the lack of a plan for a prolonged conflict. The hysterical tone in the speeches of the President of the United States seems to confirm this.

Israeli War Doctrine

To understand the causes of the conflict, one must understand Israel’s war doctrine. Because it is a small country deprived of resources and of so-called operational depth, it will not be able to survive the first strike using weapons of mass destruction. Therefore, their doctrine provides, in the event of a threat, for a pre-emptive strike, also using nuclear weapons. (Samson doctrine – nuclear deterrence).

Netanyahu at this moment has no way out any more; in order to remain in power he must maintain the state of emergency by escalating the threat. For him this was basically the last moment to draw the United States into his war.

BRICS Dimension

Of course, looking at it from a broader perspective, one cannot fail to notice that this is an attack on one of the BRICS countries. Iran to this day certainly has not used its principal potential and is acting rather to exhaust the opponent.

One can boldly say that the scenario from the previous conflict is being repeated. The difference, however, may be fundamental, because at the moment when the other BRICS countries, above all Turkey, Russia and China, decide officially to provide help, the military advantage may suddenly reverse by 180 degrees.

Regional Expansion Risk

Moreover, attacking American bases in neighbouring countries is intended to draw the entire region into the conflict. At that moment, forces and resources, mainly anti-missile systems, will have to be deployed over a much larger area, which will automatically cause a drop in their effectiveness.

The Americans will be forced to refuse Israel assistance in this regard because they will need them to protect their own soldiers. Another objective of these attacks is to create internal tensions in Arab countries.

At this point one should mention the words of the U.S. ambassador in Israel, who just before the beginning of the war officially stated that America would have nothing against Israel seizing part of the lands of neighbouring countries and creating the so-called “Greater Israel”. Soldiers of the Israeli Land Forces wear on their uniforms patches of the outline of Greater Israel up to the Euphrates.

In the Arab world this caused a wave of protests, which in fact continue to this day. It should be mentioned here that although the governments of some countries did not react to these words, social reactions were very emotional and on a large scale. At some point this may play a huge role in the development of this conflict.

“Why did America allow itself to be drawn into this conflict?”

Financial-System Motive

The world financial system based on the central bank and the hegemony of the dollar currently has serious problems. The deadline for repayment of American bonds is approaching, of which China is to a large extent the owner. At this moment we have a real threat of collapse of the American banking system.

In addition, competition has appeared in the form of the BRICS countries. History has already shown us once that a world conflict is a way for the USA to solve its financial problems.

It would now be worth overlaying on all this an analysis of the military actions of the sides and possible scenarios for the development of the situation, but that is material for the next article.

Conclusion

Summing up, one can boldly state that this is not a defensive war of the USA and Israel against Iran, but rather Trump’s and Netanyahu’s war for everything. The situation at this moment is very dangerous.

Looking through the prism of the statements of our politicians, it is worth quoting at this point: